Hints of cooler weather in our forecast eventually; and everything you need to know about our big Fall Day event

Originally published at: Hints of cooler weather in our forecast eventually; and everything you need to know about our big Fall Day event – Space City Weather

In brief: Houston’s late summer heat will continue this week, but a modest front should bring some drier air by Thursday or Friday. We have a chance of a stronger front in a little more than 10 days, but no promises. We also have details about our special Fall Day celebration I’m excited to share.

Fall Day

Admittedly the next few days will not feel much like fall in Houston. But that has not stopped us from preparing for Fall Day, and we want to invite everyone to come out and partake in the festivities on Saturday, October 25th. This year’s gathering is extra special as we will be celebrating the 10th anniversary of the site!

Here are some of the great things we have planned:

  • Meet and greet with Space City Weather team
  • Free tote bag giveaway to first 100 visitors
  • Chalk wall for guests to share their favorite Houston weather memory
  • Free face painting
  • Exclusive sale of 10th anniversary t-shirts (see logo above), not available at any other time
  • Lawn games
  • Art activities for kids
  • Coffee and snacks available for purchase
  • Reliant tent with giveaways
  • Free 360 photo booth

Fall Day is simply a gathering to celebrate the end of summer in Houston—to enjoy the outdoors and look ahead to cooler days. This year we have reserved the entirety of Midtown Park, 2811 Travis, in Houston. The event will be held from 10 am to Noon. If you can let us know you’re coming by signing up here, it would be great for planning purposes. But it’s not essential. See you there!

Monday

Our late summer-like weather will continue for much of this week before some kind of front, probably fairly weak, arrives by Thursday or Friday. Until such time our weather will largely be driven by high pressure. For today that means high temperatures of about 90 degrees in the city of Houston, with higher temperatures to the west and north of the city. Winds will be light, generally from the east to northeast. Skies will be mostly sunny. Overnight lows will be sultry. Dewpoints of around 70 degrees will be sticky, especially for October.

Tuesday and Wednesday

These will be the warmest days of the week, with high temperatures likely in the lower 90s in Houston, with the possibility of mid-90s for far inland areas. I don’t think we will quite get to record highs in Houston (95 degrees on Tuesday, and 96 on Wednesday, but we’re going to get close). Rain chances will be low, perhaps 20 percent each day along the sea breeze. This doesn’t look like much, but it may offer our region’s best chance of rain for the next 10 days.

Thursday and Friday

By Thursday or some drier are should start to work its way into Houston. This probably will lead to high temperatures of around 90 degrees, with lows in the upper 60s. Sunny skies prevail.

Saturday and Sunday

Expect more of the same for the weekend, with sunny skies and highs of around 90 degrees. Dewpoints look to be a bit lower, in the 60s. So while it will be warm, it won’t feel like full-on summer. Rain chances remain low to non-existent.

Next week

The headline of this weather update promised “hints” of cooler weather. We are going to get some of that this weekend with a weak front. Well, most of next week should bring continued highs of around 90 degrees. However, toward the end of next week I do think we have a decent chance of seeing a stronger front. I’m not ready to write this in ink for a variety of reasons, such as it being 10 to 12 days out, and our late summer heat has been pretty persistent. But I do think fall has a pretty OK chance of breaking out late next week.

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“Life starts all over again when it gets crisp in the fall.” - F. Scott Fitzgerald

This quote is especially meaningful for those of us who have endured a long Southeast Texas summer.

On Friday afternoon I was watering my dying plants when I noticed the wind picking up and the unmistakable feel of an afternoon thunderstorm. The second I finished with my task, it started pouring on me and a freak afternoon storm dumped .28 inches of rain on my area in Friendswood. The timing was no more than 10 minutes off but I was thankful anyway.

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Go home summer, your drunk!

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Trying hard not to get excited but ECMWF has sunday morning October 19th with 61 degree weather in Houston.

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What a wonderful quote. I had not read that before, but I will remember it.

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Drats! That Global Warming and the Concrete Island Effect!!!

Sadly, everything gets crisp here for entirely different reasons.

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61 degrees is a low bar for excitement but I’ll take it I guess.

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I don’t have facebook, so I can’t express my attendance for Fall Day there. But let it be known that I will be there at 10am for that tote, and also spending my money on that T-shirt. I am so looking forward to it, and fingers crossed I will be wearing a sweater in chilly air too!! :grinning_face:

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Seems like this is the year of weak fronts. Part of me fears we’ll have to wait til November to get a strong, bonafide cold front. Fingers crossed the one in the models for next week has a lil more oomph. I just want to break out the sweaters already :face_exhaling:

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@rflores23 It was also mentioned on ABC13 that there was some “noise” that the lows might be a bit lower. 61°F in Houston would roughly translate to the upper 50’s for me. That would be nice. Now to work on the daytime highs. Continuous upper 80’s to lower 90’s is getting old for me.

Just last night, the same model had mid 50s i believe for monday oct 20th. But as of this morning those temperatures are predicted to be higher. Time will tell.

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Just thought I’d throw this out here for what it’s worth. Last night on TWC the forecast for last night for North Houston was a 60% chance of occasional showers early followed by partial clearing. I kid you not. I don’t know where the data for that came from but that type of forecast is what I refer to when I question the accuracy of forecasts not being what it once was. That’s not the only forecast I’ve seen that was way off.

That’s sad considering our average first morning of 50 degrees or below is October 17th :sweat_smile:

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October 17? We might make it! …maybe!! :sweat_smile:

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You better cross your fingers and hope for a miracle :crossed_fingers::crossed_fingers::joy:

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I can deal with Houston summers in May, June, July, August, and September, but my patience runs out halfway through October. If we’re still seeing highs that start with 9 by the end of next week, you’ll find me in the streets screaming at some clouds. Come on, cold fronts!!!

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Perhaps I missed it (and yes I’m too lazy to scroll through older posts) but I don’t recall seeing an end of TX hurricane season post. Are we there now since those recent Campeche shenanigans fizzled?

@dbpa@eric hit us with the “end of hurricane season” post back on Sept 25, so we’re probably safe.

(…probably.)

Thanks! The ‘we believe’ and ‘probably’ in the title of the post didn’t convey the certainty I usually see in Eric and Matt’s end of season posts.