Cooler skies and drier air will prevail through the weekend; also an early look at Texans playoff weather

Originally published at: Cooler skies and drier air will prevail through the weekend; also an early look at Texans playoff weather – Space City Weather

In brief: Houston will continue to see cool and dry weather through the weekend. There are some slight rain chances today, but most of what’s on radar appears to be virga. We also take a sneak peek at Texans playoff weather in Massachusetts next week.

Texans playoff weather

The Houston Texans football team advanced to the Divisional Playoff round after a thorough beating of the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday night. The Texans, which have the best defense in the franchise’s history, will now play the New England Patriots at their home stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts next Sunday. This can be a forbidding place, weather-wise, in January. But an early look at the forecast is not too intimidating.

The game starts at 2 pm CT, and temperatures will likely be in the upper 30s, with partly sunny skies. Winds, at this time, look manageable at 10 to 15 mph. Snow is not out of the question, but for now most of the models keep a low pressure system just north of the area, ruling out any accumulations. The bottom line, for late January near Boston, the forecast is one in which the Texans can thrive.

Tuesday

Returning closer to home, temperatures this morning are generally in the upper 40s for much of the Houston metro area. In response to a weak upper-level low pressure system we are seeing some light showers on the radar this morning to the west and southwest of the Houston area. Much of this is likely virga, which is precipitation that falls from clouds but evaporates before hitting the ground. This is occurring because the rain is light, and the air near the surface is very dry. It’s possible that some of these showers will be come a little bit stronger later today, so there is about a 20 percent chance of light sprinkles or showers reaching the ground as this system moves into the Houston region. Skies, otherwise, will be partly to mostly cloudy today with highs of around 60 degrees. Lows tonight will again generally drop into the upper 40s.

Wednesday

The first of two reinforcing fronts this week will arrive on Wednesday. Ahead of the front skies will be clear, and highs could reach about 70 degrees. However at some point, probably around noon or shortly after, winds will pick up from the north, gusting up to 25 mph or higher. These winds will eventually slacken some by Wednesday night, with lows dropping into the lower 40s, with cooler conditions for outlying areas. The front will be a dry passage, with no precipitation expected.

Thursday

This will be a sunny, cool day with highs of around 60 degrees. Lows on Thursday night will fall into the low- to mid-40s.

Friday

Temperatures will rebound to around 70 degrees on Friday, with ample sunshine. Another front later on Friday will bring more colder air in, dropping temperatures into the low 40s Friday night.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend looks clear and cool, with highs generally in the 60s (probably mid-60s, but we’ll see) and sunny skies. Overnight lows will probably fall to around 40 degrees in Houston (although there is a chance for slightly colder nights). Overall rain chances are close to zero. Really we have zero weather concerns locally this weekend. Enjoy the winter-like weather!

Next week

The early part of next week looks to bring continued cold for a few more days. There is some “noise” out there about a hard freeze early next week, but at this point most of our modeling keeps things at, or above freezing. We’ll keep an eye on this. After about Tuesday we are likely to warm up for a few days, perhaps reaching the mid-70s toward the end of next week. This may change with another front by or before the weekend. Rain chances, alas, continue to look really low as we dry out. That is the only unfortunate element of this otherwise splendid winter weather forecast.

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“Change is in the air, as old patterns fall away and new energies are emerging." -Marianne Williamson

Way over in the western tropical Pacific the easterly trade winds are starting to diminish. A telltale sign that the La Niña pattern that has been influencing our weather is starting to fade. In the months to come our weather will likely be much different than what we have seen over the last few years.

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I read recently that El Nino may be coming back later this year.:crossed_fingers::crossed_fingers::crossed_fingers:

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Who else wants to throw their chips on the table that February will be in the 80s most days? I haven’t checked any long term forcasts for February yet I’m just going by the trend I’ve seen the past few winters.

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Well, at the very least going neutral according to CPC. But yeah, ruminations in the Pacific seem to suggest a push to El Nino later. Hopefully this will mean a bit more rain for, well, all of Texas really.

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Unfortunately Nuetral means about a 50/50 chance of wet or dry conditions for winter. Same with temperatures. It could go either way. I really don’t want another fall/winter like this next year.

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Well, my hope was for continuance into El Nino, which could add the effect of a somewhat diminished ATL tropical season. Lotta “ifs” and “maybes” to go though.

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Has anyone else seen the forecast around friday jan 23rd-sunday the 25th? It shows a highs of about 80 all weekend. But it appears a strong artic cold front cold make it through the area sunday afternoon. Lows around 20 and high around 30. Wont go above freezing until tuesday mid day. Is it too far out to discuss?

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At 10 days out, that feels like it matches up with @Eric’s usual advice: forecast accuracy at that distance is effectively a coin toss.

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I’ll just go out on a whim and say that seems pretty unlikely, but given the insane mood swings of the past several winters we’ve had, honestly, nothing would surprise me anymore at this point.

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