Originally published at: After Houston flirts with a light freeze this morning, the region will warm up for awhile – Space City Weather
In brief: In today’s post we discuss how cold conditions got in the Houston region this morning, and then look ahead to warmer days. We also consider the potential for rain chances this weekend, and a stronger front next week.
How low did we go?
This morning’s post is a little bit late because I wanted to get a good read on just how low temperatures in the region went this morning. Although the numbers are not official yet, the city’s primary station at Bush Intercontinental Airport dropped to at least 37 degrees (the record minimum for today is 32 degrees, set in 1987). Some of the usual cooler spots, including Conroe, Cleveland, Brenham, and Navasota, all recorded a light freeze this morning, and the vast majority of the metro area dropped into the 30s, barring the immediate coast. In short, it’s rather chilly for early November. However this won’t persist. Last week we described this front and short and sharp, and temperatures will moderate quickly today.
Veterans Day
If you’re participating in a ceremony to honor the nation’s veterans this morning, you can expect sunny skies and warming temperatures. We should be in the 50s by mid-morning, and headed to the lower 70s this afternoon. Light easterly winds will shift to come from the south later this morning, and that will herald the beginning of an onshore flow. Lows tonight, accordingly, will only drop into the upper 50s. So very much on the warmer side.
Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday
The remainder of the work week will see mild weather. Expect highs generally in the low 80s, with partly to mostly sunny skies. Rain chances will be near zero. Winds will be light in the morning, but there may be some southerly gusts up to 20 mph during the afternoons. With dewpoints in the low 60s the air will be modestly humid, but not oppressively so. Nights will be on the warm side, falling only into the 60s.
Saturday and Sunday
Although previously it looked as though a front may push into the Houston area this weekend, that no longer appears likely to happen. Instead the front is likely to approach the area but effectively wash out before moving into Houston proper. So what does that mean for our weather? I expect to see highs in the vicinity of 80 degrees with warm nights. With plenty of moisture and the possibility of a disturbed atmosphere, I think we’ll see a slight (perhaps 20 or 30 percent) chance of rain on Saturday, and maybe a better chance (50 percent?) on Sunday. We’ll probably need to keep using pencils and erasers on this forecast for another day or two before our confidence increases.
Next week
It’s possible that a weak front does make it by Tuesday or so, but we probably will have to wait until later in the week (in the Nov. 20-21 range) for something a little stronger. The bottom line is that, at some point next week, I’m fairly confident we’ll see some pretty healthy rain chances and cooler weather. But before then we’re going to have a goodly string of 80-degree days.
Fundraiser
Matt and I wanted to thank everyone who donated to our fundraiser, which kicked off on Monday. You can find all the details here on merchandise to purchase, or how to donate. Your support really does make a difference!
