Showers and thunderstorms possible in Houston region today and this evening

[WeatherBot]

Originally published at: Showers and thunderstorms possible in Houston region today and this evening – Space City Weather

In brief: We actually have some dynamic weather to talk about in today’s forecast! Due to a boundary moving in, the region will see some shower and thunderstorm chances. The most likely time frame for this is Thursday afternoon north of the city, and the evening hours in Houston and closer to the coast.

Rain, actually

It has been a long, hot, and mostly dry August but some real change is on the way. It’s still going to be sizzling today, with temperatures in the upper 90s. But after today most of the region will fall back into the mid-90s for awhile. And thanks to a stalling boundary, we are going to see a healthy chance of rain showers today in the greater Houston area. Not everyone is going to see showers or thunderstorms, but overall chances are probably on the order of 50 percent, which represents our highest likelihood of rain in weeks.

Thursday

With a check of the radar just before sunrise, we can see shower activity developing north of the Houston region, in areas such as College Station and Livingston. These showers should progress into Montgomery County over the next hour or two before stalling out. I don’t think they will get all the way to Harris County, at least for the most part.

We will see sunny skies during the middle of the day, and very hot conditions like we’ve experienced so far this week. However we should see another round of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, possibly initiating north of Interstate 10 and then moving down toward the coast through the evening hours. This time frame represents when most of the region should see its best chance of rainfall. Accumulations will vary widely, from no rain to some bullseyes of 1 or more inches. Showers should subside by or before midnight.

Friday

We should see a few more clouds on Friday, limiting highs to the low- to mid-90s. Rain chances will be lower, possibly in the 20 to 30 percent range.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend should bring mostly sunny and (for late August) temperate conditions. Expect highs in the low- to mid-90s. The likelihood of rain showers is not zero, but it’s close. Overall this should be a pretty nice weekend for outdoor activities involving water.

Next week

At this point we should see a summer-like pattern next week, with high temperatures mostly in the mid-90s and a low-end potential for daily showers along the sea breeze. These are typical conditions for early September here.

[Glenn]

“Farewell has a sweet sound of reluctance. Good-by is short and final, a word with teeth sharp to bite through the string that ties past to the future.”
― John Steinbeck

Yesterday it hit 100 at IAH for the 8th time this year. The seventh in a row. Last year we hit the century mark eight times as well. Our average is probably 5 or 6 with some years never reaching that point and others years we hit it over 40 times. I will put forth a forecast that we are done with the 100 degree heat until next summer. Based on nothing else other than a whim and the slightest bit of research on Houston climatology so don’t hold me to it.

So as Mr. Steinbeck said “Farewell” 100’s. I hope…

[Milkbone]

Sure hope you get your wish!

[Joseph]

Hopefully this won’t be like 2005 when Houston had it’s latest 100 degree day on record on September 27th. That was mainly due to Hurricane Rita spinning dry, hot continental air over our region though.

[lee]

If I’m remembering right, 2005 is also when we had so damn many hurricanes that NOAA had to start using greek letters for them. And “hurricane season” lasted until January 2006.

[richbeat]

Well, this morning’s rain was a bust in JV. Hopefully I’ll get a decent rain this afternoon.

[Joseph]

Yes it was. 2005 was the most active hurricane season on record for the Atlantic until 2020.

Some legendary names came out of the 2005 season like Katrina, Rita, Wilma, and Dennis.

[Joseph]

The sky is actually mostly cloudy here in Sweeny. No rain yet but this is the most cloud cover I have seen in weeks.

[Joseph]

Funfact: on this day in 2023, it hit 109 degrees in Houston, which was the 4th time in recorded history for the city. The 3rd time was only a few days prior on the 24th.

[Weather]

Should shoot for 110 just to break it some day

[richbeat]

@Weather No thank you.

[Weather]

only 1 degree, wont notice or feel it

[rflores23]

earliest fall cold front i found in recent memory was in September 2017, Highs in the high 80s, lows in the high 60s. This occurred from september 6th-11th.