I hope you like sunshine, because there is going to be a lot of it

Originally published at: I hope you like sunshine, because there is going to be a lot of it – Space City Weather

In brief: In today’s post we discuss high pressure and sinking air, which is the reason why Houston is likely to see wall-to-wall sunshine for the next week. We also take a look at just how hot temperatures are going to get this weekend.


High pressure, sinking air

As we discussed yesterday, a rather strong and persistent ridge of high pressure is building over the Western United States, and it is going to hold sway for at least the next week. Such highs produce conditions in which air, generally, sinks rather than rises. In the absence of rising air, it’s difficult to see the kinds of moisture needed for clouds to form to be lifted from the surface. Therefore we get days and days of blue skies. I am highly confident of nearly 100 percent clear skies for now through Sunday, and then I expect partly to mostly sunny skies (at least) to persist for much of next week. This lifted moisture is also necessary to produce precipitation, which is why I’m doubtful that we’re going to see any rain between now and the middle of next week, and quite possibly longer than that.

Thursday

We are experiencing our last ‘cool’ morning today, with lows generally in the upper 40s to lower 50s across the region. Winds are light, from the southwest, and will become a little stronger this afternoon, with gusts up to 15 mph perhaps. Skies will be—if you’ve been paying attention you already know the answer to this—sunny today with high temperatures climbing into the lower 80s.

Houston rodeo

The weather will be mighty fine for the rodeo later today, with temperatures this evening in the 70s, and southerly winds at about 10 mph. Lows will fall into the 60s after the show, and by early Friday morning they should drop to around 60 degrees in Houston. Some outlying areas will likely see lows in the 50s, and that may well be the last time for that until at least next weekend.

Friday

A fine, sunny day with highs in the mid-80s. Winds may be a little more perky from the south, with overnight temperatures a few degrees warmer.

Saturday and Sunday

The ridge should reach its peak strength this weekend, and that will push our high temperatures into the upper-80s for most locations. Some inland areas may well hit 90 degrees for the first time this year. Regardless it’s going to be sunny and borderline hot this weekend. Southerly winds may gust up to about 20 mph during the afternoon hours. Overnight lows will fall into the lower 60s. It will feel moderately humid, but still be far below ‘normal’ humidity in Houston on a summer day. So I guess we’ve got that going for us, which is nice.

Next week

A weak front will approach the area early next week, but I don’t think it will bring us any precipitation. It should help knock a few degrees off daytime highs however, so maybe mid-80s rather than upper-80s. I still anticipate a lot of sunshine next week and low rain chances. That may change toward the end of the week with a frontal passage, but I’m making no promises or guarantees there.

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“Pain is inevitable. Suffering is optional.” - Buddha

This early season heat dome is certainly a sign that the long Houston summer is around the corner. The older I get the tougher it is to take the summers down here. But in my efforts to remain positive there are two great inventions that help me endure this portion of our trip around the sun. Air conditioning and cold beer…

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I get your logic,hot now, inferno this summer.

Ill make an attempt to be pragmatic and write that it could go that way,(God help us) or it could go another way. El Niño is expected to be strong one. If it manifest itself by bringing an active Subtropical Jetstream beginning next month, than the drought we’re in can be muzzled,even reversed and that can put us in a good position for the summer,or no heat ridge sitting on us til October. I can recall 2004 & 2008 having warm springs then an “ok” summer. Let’s find out.

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Lol, nice Caddyshack reference.

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I really like the picture. It is simple but a great demonstration of how high and low pressure systems work. I also want to point out that the air converging at the center of the low is what causes the wind. The stronger the low, the more air is rising at the center, which means more air is going to fall towards the center to fill the empty void because of gravity, aka, faster windspeeds.

When people ask me why the wind is blowing so much, I try to explain it to them but a simple cartoon picture like that makes it much easier to understand. :+1:

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Glenn, don’t forget about sweat. Sweat is our bodies own great invention to combat the heat. Get ready to get sweaty.

You all hear me gripe all winter about lack of cold. But, ironically i welcome the heat, as i am excited to garden.

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