Full Moon tonight, and we're heading toward it

Originally published at: Full Moon tonight, and we’re heading toward it – Space City Weather

In brief: In today’s post we discuss this evening’s liftoff of four astronauts to the Moon, with fine weather conditions expected for the launch window. Closer to home we remain in a warm and muggy pattern, although Houston will start to see increasing rain chances today. Saturday still looks dynamic ahead of a cooler and gray Easter Sunday.

Update on Artemis II

I’m in Florida this morning for the historic launch of Artemis II, during which four astronauts—who have been our neighbors here in Houston for at least the last decade—are scheduled to fly to the Moon. The two-hour launch window opens at 6:24 pm ET this evening, and local weather conditions are favorable for liftoff. There is always the chance of technical issues with the rocket or spacecraft, but if not, we’re sending humans back into deep space for the first time in more than 50 years. And these are really great people, Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen, whom we can all be proud of and cheer on. Following the launch window opening, there will be a full Moon at 8:11 pm ET. Seems fitting. My colleage and I at Ars Technica will be providing full coverage if you’re interested in knowing more.

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

Alright, back to local weather. There won’t be much change over the next three days so I am lumping them together. We are going to see continued warm weather, with daytime highs in the range of the mid-80s, plenty of humidity, and very warm nights with temperatures only falling into the lower 70s. Southerly winds will also be frisky, gusting up to 25 mph or higher during the afternoon hours. We are also going to see some bonafide rain chances, but these showers will be very hit or miss. A few areas may see some afternoon thunderstorms whereas the majority of us only sees gray skies. Overall I expect most of Houston to pick up a tenth of an inch of rain, or two, over the next couple of days. But a few areas will get more.

Saturday and Sunday

Our weather this weekend will turn a bit more dynamic. We’re still outside the range of high-resolution models, but generally the picture is fairly straightforward. Saturday morning looks warm and muggy, but I don’t anticipate much in the way of shower activity. So basically a continuation of previous days.

However, rain chances will increase during the afternoon hours, with the greatest likelihood of rain from mid-afternoon on Saturday to the early morning hours on Easter Sunday. For now overall conditions are not particularly supportive for severe weather, with the primary threat heavy rain. I don’t want to over-set expectations here. My hope is that most of the region receives a good soaking, with 0.5 to 1.5 inches of rain. Given the high atmospheric levels we cannot exclude the possibility of heavy rainfall briefly backing up streets, but I don’t think this will be too much of an issue.

By Sunday morning it will feel cooler outside, with temperatures in the upper 50s for most locations. If the front lingers near the coast for awhile, we may see some scattered showers on Sunday morning, especially for areas along and south of Interstate 10. Skies should remain mostly cloudy regardless, with daytime highs in the upper 60s. Lows on Sunday night will drop into the mid-50s in Houston, with cooler conditions for outlying areas.

Next week

Fine, spring-like weather will hang on through the middle of next week, with highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s. Daytime highs may rebound to around 80 degrees toward the end of next week, when some modest rain chances remain.

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I thought the launch window opens at 6:24 pm ET/5:24 pm CT? Not 5:24 pm ET?

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“This cause of exploration and discovery is not an option we choose; it is a desire written in the human heart. We are that part of creation which seeks to understand all creation. We find the best among us, send them forth into unmapped darkness, and pray they will return. They go in peace for all mankind, and all mankind is in their debt." -GWB

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Do you think Conroe has more of a chance of rain Friday night - Saturday morning? I’m trying to figure out our scouts first camping trip that night. Trying to avoid packing up in the rain Saturday morning…

Guess all the moon deniers who think humans can’t survive the van Allen belt will have to come up with something else.

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Or get past Earth’s firmament :sweat_smile:

yes, it’s 6:24 eastern! 5:24 central!

Not sure if @Eric is going to be around for most of today as he gets herded around to different press things at the Cape, so I’ve updated the post with the correct launch window time.

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Used to be a total space junkie, but it’s hard to get fired up about it with all of the bull-bleep taking place here. At one time it was about exploration, pushing boundaries, and expanding science. I get this is Artemis and NASA, but U.S. politics and influence of wealthy whackadoodles has tarnished a lot of this. I hope all goes well with this mission and those that proceed from this, if there are to be more. Maybe at some point in the future we’ll be rid of the idiots and can resume what once was.

As many years behind schedule this thing is - - and many BILLIONS over budget (since when has NASA ever given Congress a realistic budget on anything) - - this launch better work.

Personally, I’m more worried about them breaking the glass shield surrounding the Earth and letting all the air out to space.

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FYI, Space_com says the full ‘Pink Moon’ is at 10:12 pm EDT tonight.

Some notable stats as March draws to a close:

The official station at Bush Airport has only recorded 20.41 inches of rain since the beginning of August (average is 33.11 inches). This is the driest August-March period since 2012-2013.

Every month since August (8 straight months) has been drier than average. March came close to meeting the average but still fell short by 0.02 inch.

Houston has now recorded 20 straight months without 6+ inches of rainfall (last occurrence was in July 2024, the month of Hurricane Beryl). This is the longest streak since July 1987 - April 1989.

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What’s crazy is that it is going to take probably 3 days for them to reach the moon depending on how fast they are traveling. The moon much further away than many people realize. It is not hovering just outside Earth’s atmosphere like many pictures and posters show.

The moon is about 238,900 miles away from Earth, which means if you were driving a car to the moon at 60 mph it would take 166 days to reach it.

This dry streak will probably come to an end this fall. :crossed_fingers::crossed_fingers:

Fall of which year??

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Hopefully this year because of “The Nino”

I know i am not crazy, but since hurricane harvey, besides the derecho which wasnt even a massive rain event (Fast moving), has the city of houston (using downtown as a bullseye) had a flood event since then? I cant remember any.

I don’t think so. Before Harvey, the Tax Day, and Memorial Day Flood in 2015, the last downtown, or widespread major flood in Houston was Alison in 2001. April 28th, 2009 is an honorable mention but I think that was mainly in the far west side of Houston. City wide floods are pretty uncommon in Houston but isolated floods happen much more often.

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