Originally published at: After Sunday night’s storms, calmer weather to prevail this week in Houston – Space City Weather
In brief: As Houston’s weather turns calmer on Monday, we take a brief look at what to expect when the Atlantic hurricane season kicks off in three weeks. We also look ahead to mostly sunny skies and hotter temperatures later this week in Houston. The weekend looks fine.
Storms pass, check your calendar
Showers and thunderstorms in association with a front moved through the Houston region overnight, lighting up the sky with thunder and lightning. Rainfall amounts varied widely across the region, with some locations picking up 1 to 2 inches of rainfall and others virtually nothing. The bulk of this activity is now nearly all offshore, although there may be some lingering showers today, especially for areas south of Interstate 10 in Houston.
Also, of note, we are now three weeks from the beginning of the Atlantic hurricane season. We are going to have our official preview later this month, but this morning our companion website, The Eyewall, digs in to the data this morning and looks at what a strong-ish El Niño would mean for Atlantic hurricane season. One concern is that waters in the Gulf of Mexico, heading toward the start of this season, are significantly warmer than normal. This may offset some of the dampening effect that El Niño would otherwise have.
Monday
The vast majority of showers associated with the cool front have now moved offshore, and for inland areas this probably is the end of rainfall for today. However, for coastal areas a chance of showers will linger for much of today, even as skies turn partly sunny. Highs will likely reach the mid-80s this afternoon. Winds will be from the north, at 5 to 10 mph. This should allow temperatures to fall into the upper 60s tonight outside of the urban core of Houston, which will be a touch warmer. This is not “cold” weather by any means, but as we get deeper into May fronts become more scarce. As fronts become weaker they are best enjoyed outdoors during the morning and evening hours.
Tuesday
This will be a mostly sunny day with moderately drier air. Expect highs in the mid-80s and light northeasterly winds. Temperatures on Tuesday night will be a bit warmer.
Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday
High pressure will build somewhat during the second half of the week, leading to partly to mostly sunny weather with warm temperatures in the upper 80s to 90 degrees. Humidity rebounds as well. Overnight lows will only drop into the lower 70s in Houston. This is not summer yet, but we’re approaching its outskirts.
Saturday and Sunday
We may start to see some more cloud cover this weekend (not sure), but high temperatures should still solidly remain in the upper 80s. Lows will remain muggy, likely increasing to the mid-70s. After Monday Houston’s rain chances will be near zero this week, but they may start to creep back up by Sunday afternoon or evening. Anyway, most outdoor activities should be fine this weekend if you’re prepared to sweat.
Next week
Most likely Houston will remain on the warm and muggy side next week, with the change being that rain chances likely return at some point.
